testify

I’m sorry, no humor is permitted here. Everything must be serious discourse about substantive issues…

whew, I crack myself up.

wow… someone reads 2 out of 30 sites that I saw that had McCain beating Obama. And not “solidly.” If you’re going to try to confirm a joke with facts, try not making the “facts” a joke.

Congrats… That was one of the 2 out of 30 I found that supports your argument. Sadly, you are right that if you choose a selection of random polls from recent to 4 or more years ago, many of which are Bush v Kerry as opposed to Obama v McCain, you can make it appear that Obama will lose to McCain. However, because many of these states do not have a remotely recent McCain Obama poll and chooses to give states to candidates based on two the results of polls for two completely different candidates from 4 years ago (before the big turnover in congress mind you), I do not see this in any way as proof. Check the sources you post, if not many sources to get a full picture, before trying to make me look ill informed. I agree that state by state polls are sparse, but the answer is not to decide that the election will go the same way as it did in 2004 even though the candidates in this election are very different candidates. Nationally, Obama is polling between 1-10 points ahead of McCain in almost every poll (http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08gen.htm for a compilation of many polls that are recent and based of of the actual candidates, if you do a metanalysis it ends up being about 5 points with a very good MOE), so you can’t assume that states will go to McCain just because they went to Bush over Kerry (sometimes by quite slim margins).